Two London seats

A Con gain and a Lab hold

New results

Battersea (London) – Con GAIN from Lab
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 16347 39.85 23103 47.35 +7.50
Lab 16610 40.49 17126 35.10 -5.39
LD 5984 14.59 7176 14.71 +0.12
Green 0 0.00 559 1.15
UKIP 0 0.00 505 1.04
Salmon 0 0.00 168 0.34
Ind 0 0.00 155 0.32
Others 2079 5.07 0 0.00
Tooting (London) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 18165 42.88 22038 43.51 +0.62
Con 12917 30.49 19514 38.52 +8.03
LD 8229 19.43 7509 14.82 -4.60
UKIP 0 0.00 624 1.23
Green 0 0.00 609 1.20
Ind 0 0.00 190 0.38
Christian 0 0.00 171 0.34
Others 3048 7.20 0 0.00

Swings based on known results

Swing for Lab/Con seats – 7 samples
Con +6.40; LD -0.03; Lab -8.41;
Swing for Lab/LD seats – 1 sample
Con +1.29; LD -6.36; Lab +5.20; SNP +2.18;
Swing for Con/Lab seats – 3 samples
Con +6.44; LD +0.13; Lab -8.10;
Swing for LD/Con seats – 3 samples
Con +3.73; LD -1.81; Lab -2.38; SNP +3.79;
Swing for seats where SNP came 1st or 2nd – 3 samples
Con +0.68; LD -4.20; Lab +4.29; SNP +2.22;
Swing for seats where PC came 1st or 2nd – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for North England – 4 samples
Con +5.80; LD +1.44; Lab -10.73;
Regional swing for East Anglia – 1 sample
Con +4.94; LD +1.14; Lab -7.91;
Regional swing for West England – 3 samples
Con +5.61; LD -1.85; Lab -7.02;
Regional swing for London – 3 samples
Con +8.40; LD -1.31; Lab -4.97;
Regional swing for South West – 1 sample
Con +2.84; LD +5.09; Lab -7.88;
Regional swing for Wales – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for Scotland – 5 samples
Con +1.12; LD -5.34; Lab +4.49; SNP +2.52;
Composite swing for all seats – 18 samples
Con +4.47; LD -1.26; Lab -4.30; PC +1.34; SNP +2.52;

Predicted result

Party Votes %age Seats
Con 38.50 320
Lab 31.40 245
LD 21.85 54
NI parties 0.00 18
SNP 1.74 6
PC 0.73 4
Minor 0.87 3

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