Scottish results

Some Scottish results, including Gordon Brown’s constituency of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

New results

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath (Scotland) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 24278 58.09 29559 64.54 +6.46
SNP 6062 14.50 6550 14.30 -0.20
LD 5450 13.04 4258 9.30 -3.74
Con 4308 10.31 4258 9.30 -1.01
UKIP 0 0.00 766 1.67
Ind1 0 0.00 184 0.40
Ind2 0 0.00 165 0.36
Ind3 0 0.00 57 0.12
Others 1698 4.06 0 0.00
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow (Scotland) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 23264 48.74 26241 51.51 +2.77
SNP 8541 17.89 11738 23.04 +5.15
Con 4776 10.01 6613 12.98 +2.97
LD 7904 16.56 5052 9.92 -6.64
Green 0 0.00 1003 1.97
Ind 0 0.00 299 0.59
Others 3248 6.80 0 0.00
Rutherglen and Hamilton West (Scotland) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 24054 55.60 28566 60.80 +5.20
SNP 6023 13.92 7564 16.10 +2.18
LD 7942 18.36 5636 12.00 -6.36
Con 3621 8.37 4540 9.66 +1.29
UKIP 0 0.00 675 1.44
Others 1621 3.75 0 0.00
Motherwell and Wishaw (Scotland) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 21327 57.47 23910 61.11 +3.64
SNP 6105 16.45 7104 18.16 +1.71
LD 4464 12.03 3840 9.82 -2.21
Con 3440 9.27 3660 9.36 +0.09
TUSC 0 0.00 609 1.56
Others 1773 4.78 0 0.00
Fife North East (Scotland) – LD hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
LD 20088 52.10 17763 44.34 -7.76
Con 7517 19.50 8715 21.75 +2.26
Lab 4920 12.76 6869 17.15 +4.38
SNP 4011 10.40 5685 14.19 +3.79
UKIP 0 0.00 1032 2.58
Others 2020 5.24 0 0.00

Swings based on known results

Swing for Lab/Con seats – 5 samples
Con +5.85; LD +0.85; Lab -10.81;
Swing for Lab/LD seats – 1 sample
Con +1.29; LD -6.36; Lab +5.20; SNP +2.18;
Swing for Con/Lab seats – 3 samples
Con +6.44; LD +0.13; Lab -8.10;
Swing for LD/Con seats – 3 samples
Con +3.73; LD -1.81; Lab -2.38; SNP +3.79;
Swing for seats where SNP came 1st or 2nd – 3 samples
Con +0.68; LD -4.20; Lab +4.29; SNP +2.22;
Swing for seats where PC came 1st or 2nd – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for North England – 4 samples
Con +5.80; LD +1.44; Lab -10.73;
Regional swing for East Anglia – 1 sample
Con +4.94; LD +1.14; Lab -7.91;
Regional swing for West England – 3 samples
Con +5.61; LD -1.85; Lab -7.02;
Regional swing for London – 1 sample
Con +9.67; LD +0.55; Lab -10.14;
Regional swing for South West – 1 sample
Con +2.84; LD +5.09; Lab -7.88;
Regional swing for Wales – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for Scotland – 5 samples
Con +1.12; LD -5.34; Lab +4.49; SNP +2.52;
Composite swing for all seats – 16 samples
Con +4.06; LD -1.13; Lab -4.54; PC +1.34; SNP +2.52;

Predicted result

Party Votes %age Seats
Con 38.57 328
Lab 30.85 237
LD 22.27 54
NI parties 0.00 18
SNP 1.75 6
PC 0.73 4
Minor 0.87 3

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