Results…

Here are three seats with swings to both the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.

New results

Darlington (North England) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 20962 52.17 16891 39.38 -12.80
Con 10490 26.11 13503 31.48 +5.37
LD 7448 18.54 10046 23.42 +4.88
BNP 0 0.00 1262 2.94
UKIP 0 0.00 1194 2.78
Others 1250 3.11 0 0.00
Minor 28 0.07 0 0.00
Torbay (South West) – LD hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
LD 19440 41.91 23126 46.99 +5.09
Con 16638 35.87 19048 38.71 +2.84
Lab 6699 14.44 3231 6.57 -7.88
UKIP 0 0.00 2628 5.34
BNP 0 0.00 709 1.44
Green 0 0.00 468 0.95
Others 3611 7.78 0 0.00
Putney (London) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 15172 42.36 21223 52.03 +9.67
Lab 13441 37.53 11170 27.39 -10.14
LD 5869 16.39 6907 16.93 +0.55
Green 0 0.00 591 1.45
BNP 0 0.00 459 1.13
UKIP 0 0.00 437 1.07
Others 1333 3.72 0 0.00

Swings based on known results

Swing for Lab/Con seats – 5 samples
Con +5.85; LD +0.85; Lab -10.81;
Swing for Con/Lab seats – 1 sample
Con +9.67; LD +0.55; Lab -10.14;
Swing for LD/Con seats – 2 samples
Con +4.46; LD +1.17; Lab -5.77;
Swing for seats where PC came 1st or 2nd – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for North England – 4 samples
Con +5.80; LD +1.44; Lab -10.73;
Regional swing for West England – 2 samples
Con +6.07; LD -2.13; Lab -7.41;
Regional swing for London – 1 sample
Con +9.67; LD +0.55; Lab -10.14;
Regional swing for South West – 1 sample
Con +2.84; LD +5.09; Lab -7.88;
Regional swing for Wales – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Composite swing for all seats – 9 samples
Con +5.53; LD +0.97; Lab -9.00; PC +1.34;

Predicted result

Party Votes %age Seats
Con 40.25 336
Lab 27.48 219
LD 24.07 65
NI parties 0.00 18
SNP 1.60 5
PC 0.74 4
Minor 0.88 3

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