First LD seat

New results

Thornbury and Yate (West England) – LD hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
LD 25466 54.65 25032 51.91 -2.75
Con 14478 31.07 17916 37.15 +6.08
Lab 4975 10.68 3385 7.02 -3.66
UKIP 0 0.00 1709 3.54
Beacham 0 0.00 126 0.26
Clements 0 0.00 58 0.12
Others 1677 3.60 0 0.00

Swings based on known results

Swing for Lab/Con seats – 3 samples
Con +5.94; LD +0.29; Lab -10.04;
Swing for LD/Con seats – 1 sample
Con +6.08; LD -2.75; Lab -3.66;
Regional swing for North England – 3 samples
Con +5.94; LD +0.29; Lab -10.04;
Regional swing for West England – 1 sample
Con +6.08; LD -2.75; Lab -3.66;
Composite swing for all seats – 4 samples
Con +5.98; LD -0.47; Lab -8.44;

Predicted result

Party Votes %age Seats
Con 40.37 340
Lab 28.59 223
LD 22.84 57
NI parties 0.00 18
SNP 1.61 5
PC 0.68 4
Minor 0.89 3

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