East Midlands seats

Here are some seats in the East Midlands

New results

Louth and Horncastle (Midlands) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 21223 45.63 25065 49.64 +4.01
LD 9149 19.67 11194 22.17 +2.50
Lab 12192 26.21 8760 17.35 -8.87
BNP 0 0.00 2199 4.35
UKIP 0 0.00 2183 4.32
Lincoln 0 0.00 576 1.14
EngDem 0 0.00 517 1.02
Others 3946 8.48 0 0.00
Boston and Skegness (Midlands) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 20087 46.52 21325 49.45 +2.92
Lab 13576 31.44 8899 20.64 -10.81
LD 4001 9.27 6371 14.77 +5.51
UKIP 0 0.00 4081 9.46
BNP 0 0.00 2278 5.28
Ind 0 0.00 171 0.40
Minor 4024 9.32 0 0.00
Others 1487 3.44 0 0.00
Grantham and Stamford (Midlands) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 21010 45.41 26552 50.29 +4.88
LD 7867 17.00 11726 22.21 +5.21
Lab 14760 31.90 9503 18.00 -13.90
BNP 0 0.00 2485 4.71
UKIP 0 0.00 1604 3.04
Lincoln 0 0.00 929 1.76
Others 2631 5.69 0 0.00
Lincoln (Midlands) – Con GAIN from Lab
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 14253 35.66 17163 37.54 +1.88
Lab 17358 43.42 16105 35.22 -8.20
LD 6788 16.98 9256 20.24 +3.26
BNP 0 0.00 1367 2.99
UKIP 0 0.00 1004 2.20
EngDem 0 0.00 604 1.32
Ind 0 0.00 222 0.49
Others 1574 3.94 0 0.00
Newark (Midlands) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 24934 54.04 27590 53.86 -0.19
Lab 12289 26.64 11438 22.33 -4.31
LD 7777 16.86 10246 20.00 +3.14
UKIP 0 0.00 1954 3.81
Others 1137 2.46 0 0.00
Gedling (Midlands) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 21011 46.62 19821 41.05 -5.57
Con 16842 37.37 17962 37.20 -0.17
LD 6079 13.49 7350 15.22 +1.73
BNP 0 0.00 1698 3.52
UKIP 0 0.00 1459 3.02
Others 1141 2.53 0 0.00
Rushcliffe (Midlands) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 23264 48.04 27470 51.17 +3.13
LD 8391 17.33 11659 21.72 +4.39
Lab 13242 27.34 11128 20.73 -6.62
UKIP 0 0.00 2179 4.06
Green 0 0.00 1251 2.33
Others 3532 7.29 0 0.00
Loughborough (Midlands) – Con GAIN from Lab
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 17433 37.28 21971 41.58 +4.31
Lab 19301 41.27 18227 34.50 -6.77
LD 8334 17.82 9675 18.31 +0.49
BNP 0 0.00 2040 3.86
UKIP 0 0.00 925 1.75
Others 1699 3.63 0 0.00
Charnwood (Midlands) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 22262 46.79 26560 49.61 +2.82
LD 8923 18.75 11531 21.54 +2.78
Lab 13234 27.81 10536 19.68 -8.14
BNP 0 0.00 3116 5.82
UKIP 0 0.00 1799 3.36
Others 3161 6.64 0 0.00
Nottingham South (Midlands) – Lab hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Lab 15644 46.01 15209 37.29 -8.72
Con 9131 26.85 13437 32.94 +6.09
LD 7957 23.40 9406 23.06 -0.34
BNP 0 0.00 1140 2.79
UKIP 0 0.00 967 2.37
Green 0 0.00 630 1.54
Others 1271 3.74 0 0.00

Swings based on known results

Swing for Lab/Con seats – 11 samples
Con +5.17; LD +0.45; Lab -8.01;
Swing for Lab/LD seats – 2 samples
Con +1.04; LD -3.88; Lab +4.51; SNP +2.45;
Swing for Con/Lab seats – 11 samples
Con +3.81; LD +3.44; Lab -9.03;
Swing for Con/LD seats – 3 samples
Con +6.98; LD -6.02; Lab -3.57;
Swing for LD/Con seats – 4 samples
Con +5.33; LD -2.37; Lab -3.03; SNP +3.79;
Swing for seats where SNP came 1st or 2nd – 3 samples
Con +0.68; LD -4.20; Lab +4.29; SNP +2.22;
Swing for seats where PC came 1st or 2nd – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for South East – 5 samples
Con +6.31; LD -2.27; Lab -5.50;
Regional swing for Midlands – 10 samples
Con +2.97; LD +2.87; Lab -8.19;
Regional swing for North England – 4 samples
Con +5.80; LD +1.44; Lab -10.73;
Regional swing for East Anglia – 2 samples
Con +4.74; LD +2.15; Lab -9.26;
Regional swing for West England – 3 samples
Con +5.61; LD -1.85; Lab -7.02;
Regional swing for London – 3 samples
Con +8.40; LD -1.31; Lab -4.97;
Regional swing for South West – 1 sample
Con +2.84; LD +5.09; Lab -7.88;
Regional swing for Wales – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for Scotland – 6 samples
Con +1.07; LD -4.69; Lab +4.38; SNP +2.56;
Composite swing for all seats – 35 samples
Con +4.20; LD -0.10; Lab -5.53; PC +1.34; SNP +2.56;

Predicted result

Party Votes %age Seats
Con 38.19 311
Lab 31.02 255
LD 22.50 53
NI parties 0.00 18
SNP 1.74 6
PC 0.73 4
Minor 0.84 3

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