Another Pirate Result

New results

Surrey South West (South East) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 27237 50.84 33605 58.69 +7.85
LD 21070 39.33 17287 30.19 -9.14
Lab 4136 7.72 3419 5.97 -1.75
UKIP 0 0.00 1486 2.60
Green 0 0.00 690 1.21
BNP 0 0.00 644 1.12
Pirate 0 0.00 94 0.16
Ind 0 0.00 34 0.06
Others 1128 2.11 0 0.00

Swings based on known results

Swing for Lab/Con seats – 7 samples
Con +6.40; LD -0.03; Lab -8.41;
Swing for Lab/LD seats – 2 samples
Con +1.04; LD -3.88; Lab +4.51; SNP +2.45;
Swing for Con/Lab seats – 5 samples
Con +4.86; LD +2.87; Lab -9.34;
Swing for Con/LD seats – 3 samples
Con +6.98; LD -6.02; Lab -3.57;
Swing for LD/Con seats – 4 samples
Con +5.33; LD -2.37; Lab -3.03; SNP +3.79;
Swing for seats where SNP came 1st or 2nd – 3 samples
Con +0.68; LD -4.20; Lab +4.29; SNP +2.22;
Swing for seats where PC came 1st or 2nd – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for South East – 5 samples
Con +6.31; LD -2.27; Lab -5.50;
Regional swing for North England – 4 samples
Con +5.80; LD +1.44; Lab -10.73;
Regional swing for East Anglia – 2 samples
Con +4.74; LD +2.15; Lab -9.26;
Regional swing for West England – 3 samples
Con +5.61; LD -1.85; Lab -7.02;
Regional swing for London – 3 samples
Con +8.40; LD -1.31; Lab -4.97;
Regional swing for South West – 1 sample
Con +2.84; LD +5.09; Lab -7.88;
Regional swing for Wales – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for Scotland – 6 samples
Con +1.07; LD -4.69; Lab +4.38; SNP +2.56;
Composite swing for all seats – 25 samples
Con +4.70; LD -1.29; Lab -4.47; PC +1.34; SNP +2.56;

Predicted result

Party Votes %age Seats
Con 38.69 321
Lab 31.15 245
LD 21.92 53
NI parties 0.00 18
SNP 1.74 6
PC 0.73 4
Minor 0.86 3

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