A good result for the Lib Dems

The Conservatives hold Canterbury, but look how the Lib Dem vote has risen.

New results

Canterbury (South East) – Con hold
Party 2005 votes 2005 %age 2010 votes 2010 %age swing
Con 20530 44.35 22050 44.81 +0.46
LD 10059 21.73 16002 32.52 +10.79
Lab 12943 27.96 7940 16.14 -11.83
UKIP 0 0.00 1907 3.88
Green 0 0.00 1137 2.31
MRP 0 0.00 173 0.35
Others 2758 5.96 0 0.00

Swings based on known results

Swing for Lab/Con seats – 7 samples
Con +6.40; LD -0.03; Lab -8.41;
Swing for Lab/LD seats – 1 sample
Con +1.29; LD -6.36; Lab +5.20; SNP +2.18;
Swing for Con/Lab seats – 5 samples
Con +4.86; LD +2.87; Lab -9.34;
Swing for Con/LD seats – 2 samples
Con +6.54; LD -4.46; Lab -4.48;
Swing for LD/Con seats – 4 samples
Con +5.33; LD -2.37; Lab -3.03; SNP +3.79;
Swing for seats where SNP came 1st or 2nd – 3 samples
Con +0.68; LD -4.20; Lab +4.29; SNP +2.22;
Swing for seats where PC came 1st or 2nd – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for South East – 4 samples
Con +5.92; LD -0.55; Lab -6.44;
Regional swing for North England – 4 samples
Con +5.80; LD +1.44; Lab -10.73;
Regional swing for East Anglia – 2 samples
Con +4.74; LD +2.15; Lab -9.26;
Regional swing for West England – 3 samples
Con +5.61; LD -1.85; Lab -7.02;
Regional swing for London – 3 samples
Con +8.40; LD -1.31; Lab -4.97;
Regional swing for South West – 1 sample
Con +2.84; LD +5.09; Lab -7.88;
Regional swing for Wales – 1 sample
Con +1.88; LD +1.63; Lab -5.23; PC +1.34;
Regional swing for Scotland – 5 samples
Con +1.12; LD -5.34; Lab +4.49; SNP +2.52;
Composite swing for all seats – 23 samples
Con +4.73; LD -0.94; Lab -4.95; PC +1.34; SNP +2.52;

Predicted result

Party Votes %age Seats
Con 38.68 321
Lab 31.10 245
LD 21.97 53
NI parties 0.00 18
SNP 1.74 6
PC 0.73 4
Minor 0.87 3

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