The BBC exit poll gives the following result:
Con 307, Lab 255, LD 59, Others 29.
I think this is wrong. All the polls give the LDs more seats than this — about 80 is a typical number — so I suspect the methodology they’ve used is incorrect. For example, they don’t factor in postal votes.
I still stand by my prediction of Con 295, Lab 243, LD 84, Others 28.
Posted something along very similar lines on my liveblog re those LD figures!
Good work with your number-crunching by the way; clearest calculations I’ve seen yet.
Now more results have come in, the Tories and doing better and the Lib Dems worse than the exit poll.
Well, that poll wasn’t far off after all, was it…. :-)
I think your assessment of the BBC exit poll was bollocks.
Yeah what a load of bollocks the exit poll was. A whole 1 seat out. What a bunch of useless *nkers.
You, sir, were wrong.
I was, wasn’t I?