An opinion poll suggests Labour will get 16% of the vote in the European election on Thursday. The full figures are:
CON 30 LAB 16 LD 12 UKIP 19 GRN 10 BNP 5
My gut feeling is that while Labour will get more than 16%, they will probably get less than 20%. My reasoning is that the got 22% in the 2004 Euro election, and are less popular now than they were then (the year later they went on to win the general election, something they would certainly fail to do now).