I thought this was interesting phraseology in today’s Times Online:
Sarah Palin hit by internet rumours over fifth child
[…] If Mrs Palin, a conservative mother of five, ever doubted that landing on a national presidential ticket would open her to the harshest of spotlights and smear tactics, she also awoke yesterday to utterly unfounded internet rumours that her fifth child, born in April with Down’s syndrome, was actually her 17-year-old daughter’s.
Note the phrasing “utterly unfounded rumours”, which looks like the Times’ lawyers have had a go at the copy before it got published. (Note for people outside the UK: British libel law is heavily weighted in favour of the plantiff, which is why the UK is a favourite venue for “libel shopping”.)
I would say — and this is an utterly uninformed guess — that on the evidence we have, there’s roughly a 90% probability that Trig Palin is Sarah Plain’s child; and a 10% probability that Trig is Bristol’s.
On the subject of the unusual name — I mean Bristol, not Trig — would I be right in guessing that most Americans are not aware what “Bristol” refers to in Cockney rhyming slang? Bristol has a nice pair of Bristols, in any case.